Lúcio

Lúcio (89 Base Icon) is listed at 1,890,000 coins, but the last 16 completed sales cleared at a median of 1,640,000. That is a 15% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 15% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.9 sales an hour, with 5 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 1,890,000, it sits in the lower half of its own recent range of 1,550,000 to 1,725,000 — 28% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.