Ali Ahmed

Ali Ahmed (92 Festival of Football: Glory Hunters) is listed at 24,250 coins, but the last 12 completed sales cleared at a median of 16,875. That is a 44% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 44% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.7 sales an hour, with 2 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 24,250, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 11,500 to 28,500 — 75% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.