Sphephelo Sithole

Sphephelo Sithole (94 Festival of Football: Path to Glory) is listed at 28,000 coins, but the last 23 completed sales cleared at a median of 23,500. That is a 19% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 19% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is reasonably slow: roughly 1 sales an hour, with 7 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 28,000, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 11,750 to 32,500 — 78% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.