Giuliano Simeone

Giuliano Simeone (96 Festival of Football: Path to Glory) is listed at 24,750 coins, but the last 51 completed sales cleared at a median of 20,000. That is a 24% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 24% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is liquid: roughly 9.3 sales an hour, with 20 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 24,750, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 12,000 to 29,500 — 73% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.