Noussair Mazraoui

Noussair Mazraoui (95 Festival of Football: Summer Stars) is listed at 20,750 coins, but the last 41 completed sales cleared at a median of 18,500. That is a 12% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 12% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is liquid: roughly 7.7 sales an hour, with 18 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 20,750, it sits in the lower half of its own recent range of 10,750 to 43,000 — 31% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.