Kerim Alajbegović

Kerim Alajbegović (95 Festival of Football: Phenoms) is listed at 13,500 coins, but the last 9 completed sales cleared at a median of 12,500. That is a 8% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 8% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is reasonably slow: roughly 2 sales an hour, with 2 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 13,500, it sits near the bottom of its own recent range of 12,000 to 25,750 — 11% of the way up. That is the end of the range where the risk-to-reward on a hold is best, provided the card is not falling for a reason.