Maximiliano Araújo

Maximiliano Araújo (89 UEFA Champions League Road to the Final) is listed at 24,500 coins, but the last 9 completed sales cleared at a median of 22,000. That is a 11% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 11% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.6 sales an hour, with 1 buy-now listing on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 24,500, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 14,000 to 32,500 — 57% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.