Willy Semedo

Willy Semedo (93 Festival of Football: Path to Glory) is listed at 24,500 coins, but the last 16 completed sales cleared at a median of 17,250. That is a 42% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 42% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.7 sales an hour, with 4 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 24,500, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 11,750 to 29,750 — 71% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.