Edmilson Junior

Edmilson Junior (92 Festival of Football: Path to Glory) is listed at 26,500 coins, but the last 21 completed sales cleared at a median of 22,500. That is a 18% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 18% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.9 sales an hour, with 4 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 26,500, it sits in the lower half of its own recent range of 11,500 to 43,500 — 47% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.