Irene Paredes

Irene Paredes (88 Festival of Football: Captains) is listed at 12,000 coins, but the last 73 completed sales cleared at a median of 11,000. That is a 9% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 9% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is liquid: roughly 12.9 sales an hour, with 26 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 12,000, it sits near the top of its own recent range of 11,000 to 12,000 — 100% of the way up. Cards bought at the top of their range have the least room left to run.