João Moutinho

João Moutinho (88 Time Warp) is listed at 122,000 coins, but the last 4 completed sales cleared at a median of 94,500. That is a 29% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 29% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.3 sales an hour, with 1 buy-now listing on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 122,000, it sits in the lower half of its own recent range of 67,000 to 180,000 — 49% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.