Rafael Márquez

Rafael Márquez (94 Fantasy FC Hero) is listed at 13,000 coins, but the last 100 completed sales cleared at a median of 11,750. That is a 11% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 11% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is liquid: roughly 18.9 sales an hour, with 14 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 13,000, it sits near the bottom of its own recent range of 11,750 to 21,000 — 14% of the way up. That is the end of the range where the risk-to-reward on a hold is best, provided the card is not falling for a reason.