Vini Jr.

Vini Jr. (97 Festival of Football: Path to Glory) is listed at 2,000,000 coins, but the last 22 completed sales cleared at a median of 1,510,000. That is a 32% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 32% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is reasonably slow: roughly 4.6 sales an hour, with 2 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 2,000,000, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 1,100,000 to 2,300,000 — 75% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.