Lionel Messi

Lionel Messi (89 Team of the Week) is listed at 220,000 coins, but the last 4 completed sales cleared at a median of 157,750. That is a 39% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 39% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is thin: roughly 0.3 sales an hour, with 4 buy-now listings on the market right now. On a market this slow, a single seller undercutting can set the price for hours, and getting out of a position takes patience.

At 220,000, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 95,000 to 300,000 — 61% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.