Valentín Barco

Valentín Barco (95 Festival of Football: Phenoms) is listed at 39,000 coins, but the last 11 completed sales cleared at a median of 36,000. That is a 8% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 8% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is reasonably slow: roughly 2.7 sales an hour, with 4 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 39,000, it sits in the upper half of its own recent range of 17,000 to 50,000 — 67% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.