Moisés Caicedo

Moisés Caicedo (95 Festival of Football: Glory Hunters) is listed at 22,000 coins, but the last 31 completed sales cleared at a median of 20,250. That is a 9% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 9% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is liquid: roughly 5.2 sales an hour, with 4 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 22,000, it sits in the lower half of its own recent range of 12,000 to 32,000 — 50% of the way up. Neither extreme, so the range on its own is not making the case either way.