Folarin Balogun

Folarin Balogun (95 Festival of Football: Star Performer) is listed at 19,000 coins, but the last 12 completed sales cleared at a median of 15,375. That is a 24% gap between what sellers are asking and what buyers are actually paying. Buy at the asking price and you would need the market to move 24% in your favour just to get back to level, before EA's 5% cut.

The card is reasonably slow: roughly 2.2 sales an hour, with 8 buy-now listings on the market right now. That is enough turnover for a price to mean something and for a position to be exited without waiting days.

At 19,000, it sits near the bottom of its own recent range of 12,000 to 130,000 — 6% of the way up. That is the end of the range where the risk-to-reward on a hold is best, provided the card is not falling for a reason.